Eastern Kansas, Western Missouri, and Eastern Oklahoma Heavy Rain Outlook, Nov 2-3, 2026
Eastern Kansas, western Missouri, and eastern Oklahoma heavy rain (Nov 2-3, 2026) maps National Weather Service flood and heavy-rain reports. No local storm report is on file yet, so no measured rain total is listed from reports. No flash flood warning is on file yet. The comparison stays pending until the event has ended and each day has a final observation. A dash means that source or station has no stored rainfall total. The damage map keeps National Weather Service flood and heavy-rain reports for eastern Kansas, western Missouri, and eastern Oklahoma, including the Kansas City area, inside the stored search area. Kansas City, Topeka, and Tulsa are tracked markets in that area. Wichita, Oklahoma City, Springfield, and St. Louis sit outside it. The dates run Monday, November 2, through Tuesday, November 3, the Day 1 excessive-rainfall window from 12Z November 2 through 12Z November 3. The Weather Prediction Center excessive-rainfall discussion on this page is the latest stored product for those dates, replaced on each collect. Flash flood warnings issued during these dates stay on the map after they expire. Reports keep updating through Tuesday. Model storm-total rainfall is the sum of daily precipitation from the forecast of record issued on or before the first day. It is graded against the final observed total after the last day. Until then the grade stays pending.
Nov 2, 2026 – ongoing. The damage map keeps the local storm reports for this storm.
Observed rainfall
No observed rainfall total is on file for this event yet.
Outlook
The damage map keeps National Weather Service flood and heavy-rain reports for eastern Kansas, western Missouri, and eastern Oklahoma, including the Kansas City area, inside the stored search area. Kansas City, Topeka, and Tulsa are tracked markets in that area. Wichita, Oklahoma City, Springfield, and St. Louis sit outside it. The dates run Monday, November 2, through Tuesday, November 3, the Day 1 excessive-rainfall window from 12Z November 2 through 12Z November 3. The Weather Prediction Center excessive-rainfall discussion on this page is the latest stored product for those dates, replaced on each collect. Flash flood warnings issued during these dates stay on the map after they expire. Reports keep updating through Tuesday. Model storm-total rainfall is the sum of daily precipitation from the forecast of record issued on or before the first day. It is graded against the final observed total after the last day. Until then the grade stays pending.
Latest outlooks
Weather Prediction Center
The stored Weather Prediction Center excessive-rainfall discussion does not cover this event's dates, so this page does not quote it.
Storm Prediction Center
The latest Storm Prediction Center convective outlook is not stored yet.
Model rain
Storm-total rainfall is the sum of daily precipitation from the forecast of record issued on or before Nov 2. A short-range model that does not cover every day is labeled with the days it has. Missing days are not filled in. The National Weather Service column is a rainfall total only when a quantitative precipitation forecast is stored. The grade is how far that total sits from the final observed total, and it stays pending until the event has ended and every day has a final observation.
| A market whose climate site is inside the stored Southwest search area, or a west Texas market just east of that area. | Sum of stored daily GFS precipitation, in inches, from the forecast of record issued on or before the first day. Missing days are not filled in. | Sum of stored daily ECMWF IFS precipitation, in inches, from the forecast of record issued on or before the first day. Missing days are not filled in. | Sum of stored daily ECMWF AIFS precipitation, in inches, from the forecast of record issued on or before the first day. Missing days are not filled in. | Sum of stored daily Canadian GEM precipitation, in inches, from the forecast of record issued on or before the first day. Missing days are not filled in. | Sum of stored daily ICON precipitation, in inches, from the forecast of record issued on or before the first day. Missing days are not filled in. | Sum of stored daily NAM precipitation, in inches, from the forecast of record issued on or before the first day. NAM covers about one or two days, so a short total says how many days are stored. | Sum of stored daily HRRR precipitation, in inches, from the forecast of record issued on or before the first day. HRRR covers about one or two days, so a short total says how many days are stored. | National Weather Service storm-total rainfall, in inches, only when a quantitative precipitation forecast is stored. A rain chance is not shown as inches. | Sum of final daily precipitation from ACIS, in inches. Pending until every day of the event has a final observation. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joplin–Pittsburg | 0.95 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.48 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.63 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 1.1 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.66 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.02 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 1.66 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | — | Pending |
| Kansas City | 0.4 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.72 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.66 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.8 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.28 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.39 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.39 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | — | Pending |
| St. Joseph | 0.35 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.9 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.66 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.67 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.33 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.25 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 1.86 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | — | Pending |
| Topeka | 0.09 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.76 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.35 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.08 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.2 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.24 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.04 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | — | Pending |
| Tulsa | 0.01 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.1 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.08 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.08 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.17 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.12 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | 0.09 in, 1 of 2 days · Pending | — | Pending |
A National Weather Service rain chance is on file for at least one of these markets. It is not a storm-total rainfall, so that column stays a dash.
The comparison stays pending until the event has ended and each day has a final observation. A dash means that source or station has no stored rainfall total.
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