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Days 1–5. Compared with the National Weather Service forecast from the same hour. No one pays for a rank.

Events

Southeast Florida Flash Flood Final Scorecard, Oct 25, 2026

Southeast Florida flash flood (Oct 25, 2026) maps National Weather Service flood and heavy-rain reports, and flash flood warnings are drawn on the damage map. 3 National Weather Service local storm reports are on file for flood and heavy rain. Reports were filed at these places: 2 SE Miami Shores, FL; 2 S Miami Beach, FL; 1 NW Palm Beach, FL. No flash flood warning is on file yet. No model rainfall forecast is stored next to an observed total for this flood, so the page does not publish a model-versus-observed score. The final scorecard grades the archived Day 1 excessive-rainfall outlook for each date against the stored local storm reports. That score stays as it was written. Weather Prediction Center Day 2 excessive-rainfall outlook, valid from 12Z October 25 through 12Z October 26, 2026: a Slight Risk for the I-95 corridor south of Melbourne, expanded south to include more of the Miami metro area. A Marginal Risk covers much of the I-95 corridor south of Jacksonville. The damage map keeps National Weather Service flood and heavy-rain reports for southeast Florida, and draws flash flood warnings while they are active. Reports keep updating through Sunday.

Wrap-up

Finished span: Oct 25, 2026. 3 flood and heavy-rain reports are on file. No flash flood warning is on file. No stored report fell during the Day 1 excessive-rainfall outlook for these dates, so there is no inside or outside count. 3 other stored reports were not inside a graded valid time, so they are not in those counts. No forecast is stored next to an observation, so this page does not rank a source.

This event is over.

Final scorecard

No stored report fell during the Day 1 excessive-rainfall outlook for these dates, so there is no inside or outside count. 3 other stored reports were not inside a graded valid time, so they are not in those counts.

October 25, 2026: no stored report fell during this outlook.

The technical details

The grade uses the Weather Prediction Center Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook issued at 16 UTC for each event date, from the public archive shapefile named shp_94e_YYYYMMDD16.zip. The other Day 1 issuances that day are not used, so every date is graded on the same afternoon product. A report counts when its time is at or after 16 UTC and before 12 UTC the next day, which is the valid window written on the product. A report exactly at 12 UTC is not in the window. Reports between 12 UTC and 16 UTC are not graded, because this outlook was not valid yet. A report on the outline counts as inside. A point in more than one outline is counted once, in the higher risk: High, then Moderate, Slight, and Marginal. The check is the outline itself. A report just outside the line counts as outside. The stored local storm reports are the flood and heavy-rain reports already kept for this event. A day whose archive file could not be fetched has no score. A day that has been graded is not replaced on a later collect.

The methodology page is the full reference. How we grade says the same rule in plain English.

Oct 25, 2026. The damage map keeps the local storm reports for this storm.

Damage reports

Observed rainfall

These are National Weather Service cooperative-observer totals for the 24 hours ending around 7am on the morning after each day of the event. A station that missed a morning is not filled in with zero.

  • None
  • Under 0.5 in
  • 0.5–1 in
  • 1–2 in
  • 2–4 in
  • Over 4 in
Where this observed rainfall total was measured. Observed rainfall for the event window, in inches. A missing day is not filled in with zero. How many stored days are in this rainfall total. A station that missed a day is not counted as zero.
Greenacres 3SW - Lake Worth 1.95 in 1
MIAMI NWSFO 1.52 in 1
MIAMI BEACH 1.46 in 1
STUART 1.17 in 1
PORT SALERNO 1 in 1
HIALEAH 0.9 in 1
PALM BEACH GARDENS 0.75 in 1
FORT LAUDERDALE 0.64 in 1
VERO BEACH 0.36 in 1
FORT LAUDERDALE BEACH 0.35 in 1
PALM BAY 0.35 in 1
MELBOURNE 0.27 in 1
CAPE FLORIDA 0.25 in 1
NORTH MIAMI BEACH #2 0 in 1

Source: National Weather Service cooperative observers, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet 7am precipitation product. Forecast Scoreboard is not affiliated with NWS, NOAA, or Iowa State University.

Map tiles © OpenStreetMap contributors. OpenStreetMap copyright.

Outlook

Weather Prediction Center Day 2 excessive-rainfall outlook, valid from 12Z October 25 through 12Z October 26, 2026: a Slight Risk for the I-95 corridor south of Melbourne, expanded south to include more of the Miami metro area. A Marginal Risk covers much of the I-95 corridor south of Jacksonville. The damage map keeps National Weather Service flood and heavy-rain reports for southeast Florida, and draws flash flood warnings while they are active. Reports keep updating through Sunday.

Damage map