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Days 1–5. Compared with the National Weather Service forecast from the same hour. No one pays for a rank.

Events

High Plains Flash Flood Final Scorecard, Oct 24-25, 2026

High Plains flash flood (Oct 24-25, 2026) maps National Weather Service flood and heavy-rain reports, and flash flood warnings are drawn on the damage map. 42 National Weather Service local storm reports are on file for flood and heavy rain. The largest rainfall total in the stored reports is 6 inches at 5 W Hope, NM. Reports were filed at these places: 5 E Horizon City, TX; 1 SW Bernardo, NM; 1 S Bernardo, NM; 1 W Laguna Pueblo, NM; 10 SE Mesita, NM; Dalhart, TX; 7 NW Sparks, TX; 5 NW Sparks, TX; 4 NW Sparks, TX; 4 E Montana Vista, TX; 6 NW Socorro, TX; Bernardo, NM, and 28 more. No flash flood warning is on file yet. No model rainfall forecast is stored next to an observed total for this flood, so the page does not publish a model-versus-observed score. The final scorecard grades the archived Day 1 excessive-rainfall outlook for each date against the stored local storm reports. That score stays as it was written. The damage map keeps National Weather Service flood and heavy-rain reports for New Mexico, southeast Colorado, West Texas, western Kansas, and the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles, inside the stored search area. The dates run through Sunday, October 25, so Saturday's Slight Risk for West Texas, New Mexico, and Colorado and Sunday's Slight Risk for the central and southern High Plains stay on this page. Tornado, hail, and wind reports for this region stay on the Southern High Plains severe storms page.

Wrap-up

Finished span: Oct 24-25, 2026. 42 flood and heavy-rain reports are on file. No flash flood warning is on file. 22 of 23 stored reports fell inside the excessive-rainfall risk area, and 1 fell outside. Inside: 9 in a Slight Risk and 13 in a Marginal Risk. 6 other stored reports were not inside a graded valid time, so they are not in those counts. No forecast is stored next to an observation, so this page does not rank a source.

This event is over.

Final scorecard

22 of 23 stored reports fell inside the excessive-rainfall risk area, and 1 fell outside. Inside: 9 in a Slight Risk and 13 in a Marginal Risk. 6 other stored reports were not inside a graded valid time, so they are not in those counts.

October 24, 2026: 16 of 16 reports were inside a risk area and none were outside (7 in a Slight Risk and 9 in a Marginal Risk).

October 25, 2026: 6 of 7 reports were inside a risk area and 1 was outside (2 in a Slight Risk and 4 in a Marginal Risk).

The technical details

The grade uses the Weather Prediction Center Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook issued at 16 UTC for each event date, from the public archive shapefile named shp_94e_YYYYMMDD16.zip. The other Day 1 issuances that day are not used, so every date is graded on the same afternoon product. A report counts when its time is at or after 16 UTC and before 12 UTC the next day, which is the valid window written on the product. A report exactly at 12 UTC is not in the window. Reports between 12 UTC and 16 UTC are not graded, because this outlook was not valid yet. A report on the outline counts as inside. A point in more than one outline is counted once, in the higher risk: High, then Moderate, Slight, and Marginal. The check is the outline itself. A report just outside the line counts as outside. The stored local storm reports are the flood and heavy-rain reports already kept for this event. A day whose archive file could not be fetched has no score. A day that has been graded is not replaced on a later collect.

The methodology page is the full reference. How we grade says the same rule in plain English.

Oct 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026. The damage map keeps the local storm reports for this storm.

Damage reports

Observed rainfall

These are National Weather Service cooperative-observer totals for the 24 hours ending around 7am on the morning after each day of the event. A station that missed a morning is not filled in with zero.

  • None
  • Under 0.5 in
  • 0.5–1 in
  • 1–2 in
  • 2–4 in
  • Over 4 in
Where this observed rainfall total was measured. Observed rainfall for the event window, in inches. A missing day is not filled in with zero. How many stored days are in this rainfall total. A station that missed a day is not counted as zero.
GRENVILLE 20MI.SW 3.18 in 2
Walsh 1W 3.05 in 2
KIM 2.7 in 2
KIM 2.08 in 2
NMSU AGRICULTURAL SCIENCE CTR 2.06 in 2
CHAMA. UPPER COLORADOO NTWK 2.05 in 1
Brantley Dam near Carlsbad 1.97 in 2
ARTESIA 6S CO-OP 1.88 in 2
SANFORD DAM 1.87 in 2
Holly 1.65 in 2
Rosebud 7Nw 1.62 in 2
Towner 1.62 in 2
USDA-ARS 1.6 in 1
LIBERAL 1.58 in 2
Fort Sumner - Sumner Lake 1.57 in 2
Campo 7S 1.52 in 2
GRUVER 1.52 in 2
NEWKIRK 24N-CANADIAN RIVER 1.51 in 2
TULIA 1.49 in 2
Texline 1.48 in 2
EADS 1.39 in 2
LAS ANIMAS 1.38 in 2
RANGER STATION 1.37 in 1
FRIONA 1.34 in 2
JOHNSON 1.26 in 2
RADIO STATION KGRO 1.25 in 2
Sheridan Lake 1.24 in 2
Las Vegas - Sewage Plant 1.21 in 2
DAM 1.2 in 2
MONTEZUMA 1.17 in 2
ELKHART 1.15 in 2
LITTLEFIELD 1.09 in 2
TRINIDAD LAKE 1.08 in 2
ULYSSES 3NE 1.06 in 2
LA JUNTA 1.05 in 2
VIGO PARK 1.04 in 2
BAYFIELD 7N 1.01 in 2
KALVESTA 1 W 1 in 2
MULESHOE NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE CO-OP 1 in 2
DODGE CITY 0.96 in 1
BURLINGTON 0.95 in 2
CAPROCK 0.95 in 2
BUENA VISTA 0.94 in 2
Taylor Park 0.94 in 2
PLAINS 0.93 in 2
Rocky Ford 2SE 0.93 in 2
WAVERLY 1W 0.93 in 2
PEDERNAL 0.91 in 2
DEL NORTE 0.9 in 2
ORDWAY 0.89 in 2
Alcade Science Center 0.88 in 2
Hodgeman Agtap #21 0.87 in 1
MOUNTAINAIR 8NW 0.87 in 2
OLTON 0.87 in 2
DURANGO SPOTTER 0.86 in 2
LEVELLAND 0.83 in 2
MONTE VISTA 0.83 in 2
MULESHOE 0.83 in 2
HART 0.81 in 2
Santa Fe Seton 0.78 in 2
KALVESTA 0.77 in 1
GRANT AGTAP #26 0.74 in 1
VERNON 4E 0.74 in 2
JETMORE 0.73 in 1
LAKE GEORGE 8SW 0.69 in 2
DIMMITT 0.68 in 2
NAVAJO DAM 0.68 in 2
SYRACUSE 0.68 in 2
TRIBUNE 1W 0.68 in 2
GOTHIC 0.67 in 2
CRESTED BUTTE COOP 0.65 in 2
MORTON 0.65 in 2
RADIO KVOP 0.65 in 2
Nadine 2E 0.64 in 1
STRONTIA SPRINGS DAM 0.64 in 2
Cuba - Johnson Ranch 0.63 in 2
DENVER CITY 0.63 in 2
FOLLETT 0.63 in 2
KARVAL 0.62 in 2
QURAY SPOTTER 0.62 in 2
Cortez 0.61 in 2
MESA 6S 0.6 in 2
ADRIAN 0.58 in 2
LIMON HASS RANCH 0.57 in 2
SHALLOWATER 0.57 in 2
LINDON 0.56 in 2
AMRAD 0.54 in 2
Dove Creek - Northdale 0.54 in 1
ASHLAND 0.52 in 2
GARDEN CITY EXPERIMENTAL STATION 0.52 in 2
ROPESVILLE 6NNW 0.51 in 2
RUIDOSO 0.51 in 2
HEALY 0.49 in 2
ABERNATHY 0.48 in 2
HOVENWEEP NATIONAL MONUMENT 0.48 in 2
RIO GRANDE/SANDIA MTNS-BEAR CANYON 0.48 in 2
BLACK CANYON OF THE GUNNISON 0.47 in 2
CHEESMAN 0.47 in 2
COLORADO NATIONAL COOP 0.47 in 2
Divide 4NW 0.46 in 2
Wheat Ridge 0.46 in 2
ATWOOD 0.44 in 2
KASSLER 0.44 in 2
MARSTON FILTER PLANT 0.41 in 2
Oberlin 0.38 in 2
AMRAD 0.37 in 1
BRIGHTON 0.36 in 2
CLARENDON 0.36 in 1
DENVER 0.36 in 2
ELLICOTT 7S 0.36 in 2
DOWNTOWN 0.35 in 2
RIO RANCHO #2 0.35 in 2
PALISADE COOP 0.34 in 2
GLADE PARK 0.32 in 2
OFFERLE 5S 0.32 in 2
PANTHER JUNCTION CO-OP 0.32 in 2
BORIARTY 0.31 in 2
CLIMAX COOP 0.3 in 2
STATE UNIVERSITY 0.3 in 2
CANON CITY 0.29 in 2
RIFLE 3ENE 0.29 in 2
Cedaredge 1E 0.28 in 2
Elizabeth 0.28 in 2
Creede Water Treatment 0.27 in 2
GLAZIER 0.27 in 2
GRANT 0.27 in 2
PUEBLO RSVR COOP 0.27 in 2
RANSOM 2 NE 0.27 in 1
GRAINFIELD 0.26 in 2
RIO RANCHO #1 0.26 in 2
WINONA 0.26 in 1
AMRAD 0.25 in 2
AURORA SOUTH 0.25 in 2
Elizabeth 2Nw 0.25 in 2
BUCKLIN 0.24 in 2
DENSMORE 2N 0.24 in 1
LONETREE 0.24 in 2
CABLE TV 0.23 in 2
HIGGINS 0.23 in 2
LOS LUNAS AG SCIENCE CENTER 0.23 in 2
NORTHGLENN 0.23 in 2
CASTLE ROCK 0.22 in 2
COLBY 1SW 0.22 in 2
WAKEENEY 0.22 in 2
RALSTON RESERVOIR 0.21 in 2
COLLYER 10S 0.2 in 1
MONTROSE #2 0.2 in 2
ASPEN SPRINGS AMRAD 0.19 in 2
CABIN CREEK 0.19 in 2
OAKLEY 4W 0.19 in 2
Palmer Lake 0.19 in 2
RUSSELL SPRINGS 3N 0.19 in 2
Westminster 5Ne 0.19 in 2
EDWARDS 1WNW 0.18 in 2
HILL CITY 1 E 0.17 in 1
MESA VERDE NATIONAL PARK COOP NR 0.16 in 2
REESE 4E 0.16 in 2
JORNADA EXPL RANGE 0.14 in 2
EL MORRO NATL MON 0.13 in 2
HOTCHKISS 5WNW 0.13 in 2
WINTER PARK 0.13 in 2
NORCATUR 3 WSW 0.1 in 1
MOUNT LOCKE CO-OP 0.09 in 1
DILLON 0.07 in 2
LUBBOCK-7SW 0.07 in 2
PERSIMMON GAP CO-OP 0.06 in 2
AGATE 0.05 in 1
CHISOS BASIN CO-OP 0.05 in 2
Lubbock 9N 0.05 in 1
SILVERTON 0.05 in 2
AMISTAD 0.04 in 2
GEORGETOWN 0.04 in 2
LUBBOCK 5WSW 0.04 in 1
Slaton 5SE 0.03 in 1
TAHOKA 0.03 in 2
CASTOLON RANGER STATION CO-OP 0.02 in 2
WOODROW 3W 0.02 in 2
ELIZABETH 0.01 in 2
RIO GRANDE VILLAGE 0.01 in 2
0.7MI N. OF PO AT FORT MCKAVETT.TX 0 in 2
ANSON 0 in 1
ARNETT 0 in 2
ASPERMONT 0 in 2
Allison 4SW - Hemphill SE 0 in 2
CHILDRSS CO-OP SITE 0 in 2
COPE RANCH CO-OP 0 in 2
CROSBYTON 0 in 2
CROWELL 0 in 2
Cheyenne 0 in 2
Childress 7Nw 0 in 2
Coleman - Hords Creek Dam 0 in 2
Dumont 0 in 2
EDEN 0 in 2
ELDORADO 0 in 2
ERICK 0 in 2
EVERGREEN 0 in 1
FARGO 0 in 2
FLOYDADA 0 in 2
Flomot 2E 0 in 2
Floydada 9Se 0 in 2
Fort Stockton 38SE 0 in 2
GALLUP SAND AND GRAVEL 0 in 2
GROSS RESERVOIR 0 in 1
GUTHRIE 0 in 2
Glenwood Spgs #2 0 in 2
HERON DAM NEAR TIERRA AMARILLA 0 in 1
JAYTON 0 in 2
KENT 8SE CO-OP 0 in 2
LAKE ALLEN HENRY 0 in 2
Lenora 0 in 1
MATADOR 0 in 2
MEMPHIS 0 in 2
MUNDAY 0 in 2
Midland Intl Arpt 0 in 1
Northfield 2S 0 in 2
PADUCAH 0 in 2
PADUCAH 15S 0 in 2
POST 0 in 2
Paducah 10S 0 in 1
Pitchfork Ranch 0 in 2
RICHFIELD 0 in 1
ROARING SPRINGS 0 in 1
Roscoe 0 in 1
S. LLANO RVR STATE PARK OUTSIDE 0 in 2
SAN ANGELO WFO 0 in 2
SAYRE 1NE 0 in 2
SITE 1 0 in 2
SNYDER CO-OP 0 in 2
SOUTHLAND 0 in 2
SPUR 0 in 2
Silver City 3N 0 in 2
Telluride 0 in 2
Truscott 3W 0 in 2
Tuscola - Lake Abilene State Park 0 in 2
VALLEY PEANUT GROWERS 0 in 2
VINSON 0 in 2
WATER VALLEY 0 in 2
WHITE RIVER LAKE NEAR SPUR 0 in 2
WILLOW 0 in 2

Source: National Weather Service cooperative observers, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet 7am precipitation product. Forecast Scoreboard is not affiliated with NWS, NOAA, or Iowa State University.

Map tiles © OpenStreetMap contributors. OpenStreetMap copyright.

Outlook

The damage map keeps National Weather Service flood and heavy-rain reports for New Mexico, southeast Colorado, West Texas, western Kansas, and the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles, inside the stored search area. The dates run through Sunday, October 25, so Saturday's Slight Risk for West Texas, New Mexico, and Colorado and Sunday's Slight Risk for the central and southern High Plains stay on this page. Tornado, hail, and wind reports for this region stay on the Southern High Plains severe storms page.

Southern High Plains severe storms. Tornado, hail, and wind reports for this same region are on that page.

Damage map